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Posts Tagged ‘market conditions’

This week I attended our quarterly Top Producers referral group meeting in San Jose. Agents from as far away as Sacramento, Carmel,Tahoe and Davis shared updates on their current market conditions and a variety of real estate related topics.

If you are looking to buy or sell outside of the Bay Area, I can usually provide referrals to great agents!

We have 30 year veterans and Millenials in the mix so it’s a nice cross section of different styles and approaches to real estate!

In general, the theme was one of “low inventory” with some markets slowing and others as competitive as ever, and “what is the next generation going to be able to afford?”
( Yes, we are only too aware of the down side to declining affordability)

The Oakland- Berkeley area seems to be one where buyers have become more selective this last quarter. Great houses are garnering the attention and high prices. Less than A+ or less strategically priced homes are sometimes only getting one offer or sitting. 

As we get into the holiday season it can be a good time for buyers who see potential in those “less than perfect” or less optimally marketed properties!

To check on the stats from the last quarter, Q3 -click below.

Pricing for competition is key….. sorry… no end in sight for those under market list prices at this time!!

 

 

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August’s Monthly report…

Buyers….Come on back!

Most local agents tell tales of buyers frustrated by their inability to get into contract and walking away from the market.
Inventory has been so low and there are not enough homes to meet the demand.
Trekking over from the city at the end of a long day or giving up chunks of each weekend, especially if you have a little one in tow is less fun after your 3rd or 4th rejected offer!
But wait………there’s good news! 
Inventory just did the annual post Labor Day pick up and we now have 2 consecutive weeks of more homes to choose from!
So buyers may do well to get back in the saddle and give it another shot!!

If you, or anyone you know, are thinking of getting into the market I’d love to hear from you! Now may be a good opportunity to get into contract!

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It may be a rainy start to the year but we’re in a fast moving early Spring market!
9 of our listings took offers last week and all but 1 are in contract with multiple offers.

My mid January Montclair listing at 1791arrowhead.com had its first open house on a very blustery rainy day. Serious buyers go shopping rain or shine.

Over 100 people came through the Sunday open house, drawn by the popular mid-century interior, online presentation and strategic pricing.
I would expect this activity in the Temescal or Rockridge but a traffic jam in the hills is less common!

With 35+ individual agent showings and 30+ requests for disclosures in the first few days the seller decided not to wait and took offers after the first Sunday and Broker tours.
Multiple offers came in from agents all over the Bay and 2 Oakland agents  prevailed with primary and back up offers accepted. ( buyers in this market usually benefit from a local agent and should NOT count on a second open house)


Explore the end of 2016 neighborhood data below!


q4-2016-click-image

Do contact me if you have questions about the local real estate market, there is always more to real estate than the data!

 

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I seem to recall leaving corporate life and becoming a realtor for flexibility and to work less hours.  I love my work, but …. it’s 24/7 and not less hours!

“Sunday is your busy day” people will often say. Is the perception that we twiddle our thumbs the rest of the week?! Open house makes for a “busy” day in Bay Area real estate, but it’s  often not the busiest day of the week.

Selling real estate is a way of life, weaving in and out of personal commitments
with overlapping and variations.  It is not a 5 day a week  9-5 job!

Below are a couple of representative weeks for a full time established agent!
A busy week, and a less busy week.

For variety, a normal week is peppered with technology and coaching, meetings with out of area colleagues, fire drill offers with last minute buyers, broker consultation on tricky escrows,committee meetings, visiting former clients etc

Busier week………

realtor-calendar-busier-week

Not so busy week………

realtor-calendar-slower-week

As with most professions, there is the mythology and the reality!
Get ready for a busy 2017!

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The First Quarter round up!
Q1 2016 click image

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The fourth quarter in Oakland and Berkeley and neighboring cities continued with a serious shortage of inventory.

There was a slight increase in listings after labor day, and a momentary slow down. In part attributed to the sheer exhaustion of the buyers (and their agents)! How many way over asking clean and often contingency free offers can you write and still not get the house??!

Of note in the 4th quarter, the Oakland neighborhoods of Redwood Heights and Lincoln Heights saw a big jump in average sale price.
For some time they have been significantly below the Glenview prices and the difference is now closer to a recent historical norm.

For perspective on inventory in the Berkeley/Oakland areas we cover ……

On 12/31/2013 there were 222 active listings
On 12/31/2014 there were 131 active listings
On 12/31/2015 there were 64 active listings

Sellers… if you are ready… do not wait! This is our Spring market and the last Jan-Feb sellers have done very well.

In March and April you will have competition!!!

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Cash offers and sale data

Cash offers and low inventory are creating a consistent story of heavy competition in all price ranges.

Looking at the chart for this years activity , the number of cash transactions is pretty staggering. This is just the closed deals.

The actual number of cash offers is much higher. Every single county is showing at least 25% cash sales and some are closer to 50%.

No… this is NOT all overseas money! It’s investors, buyers who have sold to buy, those who figure the banks are paying peanuts and have savings, those who’ve been siting on the sidelines, those with great bonuses, the affluent, the relatives who tell their fortunate kids it’s a great time to buy and can help out!

Some buyers pay cash to compete and then refinance to take advantage of the 60 year low rates.

So how does a buyer compete against cash offers?

Their offer has to be even MORE compelling…e.g fewer contingencies and usually … a higher price.
It’s risk versus reward……yes, the seller will kiss the cash offer goodbye, but it had better be worth their while to wait longer and take the risk inherent with any loan.

The combination of low inventory and the competition with cash are pushing prices up at a very steep rate.

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